Denktash has the Last Word

Denktash has the Last Word
Some 141,000 Turkish Cypriots will flock to the polls Sunday to elect new members for the 50-seat legislature of northern Cyprus -- a contest that has become a referendum on a United Nations plan for an end to the Cyprus problem, supported by the opposition parties and rejected by the ruling conservatives. Turkish Cypriots will express their will at the polling booths in a vote which will not only shape the future of the island, but will also determine to a large extend the future course of Turkish-EU relations. President Rauf Denktash, in remarks to a group of foreign newsmen following the election campaign here, indicated that he has the last word. The veteran Turkish Cypriot leader stressed that coming in first in the election won't mean coming to power and hinted that he may indeed block the main opposition Republican Turks' Party-United Front (CTP-BG) from coming to power even if it wins the Sunday's vote. **Public opinion polls*** In the latest public opinion polls, which are condemned by both the ruling and opposition parties as not reflecting adequately the tendencies of the Turkish Cypriot people, the senior partner of the ruling two-way coalition government, the National Unity Party (UBP) of Prime Minister Dr. Dervis Eroglu appears to be in the lead with a clear 30 percent lead followed by the CTP-BG with a 25 percent vote share. The only other two parties anticipated to exceed the 5 percent national electoral threshold and send deputies to Parliament are the Democrat Party (DP) of Serdar Denktash and the Peace and Democracy Movement (BDH) of former deputy prime minister Mustafa Akinci. These two parties are both tipped to remain within the 11-13 percent range in the Sunday's vote. The polls sponsored by the parties, however, place the sponsoring party ahead with a comfortable 40 percent. "We are coming to power alone. I will not answer any question about a possible coalition, that's absurd," Mehmet Ali Talat, confident of his CTP-BG's election victory declared on Friday. "I invite you to the Ataturk Square to celebrate the UBP victory Sunday evening," Prime Minister Eroglu has been telling over the past few days to crowds filling the squares. The UBP has allied with the DP in the campaign with a common rejection of the Annan plan stance while the CTP-BG, the BDH and the Settlement and EU Party (CABP) headed by Chamber of Commerce chief Ali Erel have formed a front supportive of the Annan plan and EU membership for the Turkish Cypriot people on May 1, together with the Greek Cypriot side. The race is anticipated to be a very close one between the two fronts. Despite all the political rhetoric of the election period, according to well-placed political analysts at the Eastern Mediterranean University of Nicosia, some 20 percent of the electorate are still undecided. Analysts say as the vote has come to be seen more as a referendum on the UN's peace plan to reunify the island's Turkish and Greek communities, it was not easy for the Turkish Cypriot people, particularly for those above 40 years old, to make a decision in line with traditional voting patterns. These people, remembering the bitter memories of the 1960s and 1970s on the one hand, and aspiring for peace and prosperity in the EU on the other hand, are expected to make a decision only at the polling booths. President Denktash, who rejected the plan in March, is staunchly supported by the ruling conservative parties but the opposition wants it to be revived -- and Denktash to be replaced as chief negotiator. Denktash, conceding that the outcome of the vote would also reveal the amount of popular support for his way of handling the Cyprus negotiations, said last week that "if the majority of the parliament wants me to go, I will go." The president, who has been accusing the opposition parties of pursuing a "defeatist policy" and of "looking for a quick entry into the EU, whatever the price" said that he could use his prerogative as president to ask a party "which toes the national line" to form the government if no party emerges from the vote with sufficient strength to form a government. To form a government, a party needs to win at least 26 seats in the 50-member Parliament. No party is anticipated to win that many seats in Sunday's vote. **PHOTO CAPTION*** Turkish Cypriot leader Rauf Denktash, with a portrait of Turkey's founder Ataturk in the background, talks to The Associated Press during an interview in the Turkish part of Nicosia, northern Cyprus, Thursday Dec. 11, 2003. (AP Photo/Harun Ucar)

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